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NetFlix is so 1995 - it sux!

In a moment of weakness I gave in to advertising jingles and decided to try NetFlix out - its my second day using the service and one of the main reasons I decided to try it was their new WatchNow feature 

The WatchNow feature only works on Internet Explorer, buffering takes way too long - it took 1:25mins for a movie to be ready to be played on my 10mbs line at home.

People at NetFlix: wake up! Go look at Hulu, watchTVSitcoms, joox, surfthechannel and compare your sucky, sub-par, paid service against what these guys provide for free!

if you’re planning on an MBA in an "elite" university…

I have many friends preparing and applying to top tier MBA programs and I’ve encouraged many of them to read this before they choose their schools.

the browser as a platform for mobile devices…

There has been a lot of talk about mobile web 2.0 lately and my initial impressions were that this was just another term coined by conference organizers.

Attending overtheair last weekend changed my view of this. The mobile web is real and what makes it exciting this time around is the inclusion of the millions of web developers into the mobile fold. The number of mobile websites (not .mobi) that were launched last year since the arrival of the iphone has been tremendous, these are sites catering specifically to the mobile audience and serving a mobile audience mebelionly.

The pulse of the conference was certainly around web technologies and their utilization in the mobile space. There was a lot of talk around browser compatibility and web standards which was unheard of in previous mobile conferences, we used to bore ourselves to death talking about operator walled gardens and the tyranny they impose on mobile content developers.

I feel we are at a fork in the road here and the manufacturers and the OS providers need to make a choice:

a. continue to meet demand for browsers on mobile devices with the traditional browser model in mind. ie. render w3c standard pages on devices etc. and that’s it.

or

b. create a new breed of browsers for devices which are standard compliant and which have unrestricted access to native constructs like - sms, location from triangulation, location from gps, cameras, bluetooth

Just think of the possibilities this will open up…

Not only will we be able to build applications that port easily from device to device as long as the web standards are adhered to (..has its own issues, but, I would take this problem over the porting hell that is moving applications in j2me from one manufacturers stack to another) but, mobile web apps will actually be using the capabilities of the device. Location based webapps that actually use the location of the device directly, address books and calendars that sync with your favourite web-service directly - the list is endless. All the web-services you consume on the web but tailored specifically to your devices browser platform.

It also represents a chance to leap-frog over a decades worth of lack of tools and best practices in the mobile space and join a community of web developers that is alive and teeming with ideas and open source initiatives. The developers at apple, ms and google need to think of ways to make the mobile web more accessible through the devices they support, but, not just to the point of rendering the pages but allowing a more direct interaction between javascript (maybe>) and the devices native app store. Opera as a platform was supposed to address this very problem, but I think they’ve failed or given up that fight and are focused on the status quo.

It will take a revolutionary idea for a product/device or the release of a more complete mobile browser SDK to act as the catalyst in this process. Rethinking the browser on the mobile device is going to provide options for both consumers and content developers. The carriers can gain as well with increased ARPU with data plans that users will need to access all this web content.

компютри втора употреба

launch something…

This year, something has resonated within me - the idea of launching something, anything, and getting users to use the applications I dream up. It’s been a great year - with the launch of xamcram, and now a windows mobile application to sync your contacts with Plaxo.

Not all is perfect with both these apps, however, we have over 45 Doctors on xamcram revising for their membership exams and we (Eugene, Sean, Farooq or I) don’t know 35 of them, i.e. real people on the net that are actually using the xamcram service and finding it useful and returning for more visits and learning sessions. 

The content on the website is truly exceptional and we’re adding to it as fast as we possibly can. The current version is really awesome and Farooq and I are getting feedback from our users about what they like and what they would like changed. The feedback loop is getting stronger and louder which is exactly what we need!

(almost) completed my PlaxoSync Application for windows mobile…

I had planned to finish my PlaxoSync application today/yesterday with all the edge cases taken care of and adding some polish (not gold plating).

However, due to unavoidable circumstances, i.e. getting completely goggle eyed on beer while pairing with the ultimate Dan Bodart, the app will have to be completed and released another day :)/

I will be submitting it for review in the OverTheAir all-night-hackathon to see what happens (what the hell…)

Sitting in the fireeagle presentation - seems like an awesome API for location aware applications (bought by yahoo recently) and I might get some invitation codes if anyone needs one to try building an application around it make your existing applications location aware.

Awesome first few hours…

This has to be the most comfortable keynote seating area for a conference ever…

Over the Air, London April 4-5

overtheair

Over the Air takes place in London starting tomorrow.

This promises to be the most fun conference I have ever attended (beside our regular MoMo Annual Summits). I am biased since I helped with some of the organizing. :)

We ran out of tickets within 2 weeks of opening registration. That’s upwards of 400 developers, designers, geeks and enterpreneurs all focused on the mobile space. That in itself is a special thing. The buzz in the conference will most likely be around the iPhone and Android, but, for me this conference is really an experiment in trying to merge the gap in design/UX and development in the mobile industry. There are plenty of top notch designers and serious developers presenting. This area is increasingly reaching a point of critical importance as devices get some radical features and the user experience in my opinion is getting compromised to meet the needs of the suits in the walled gardens.

I’m really looking forward to it and am excited to be presenting on Friday afternoon.

More on the event and my experience in a couple of days when I recover from the all night mobile dev sessions…

Dan Bodart, also from ThoughtWorks is presenting on Progressive Enhancement Techniques for Mobile Web Development, this promises to be a very interesting topic given the interest in the mobile web after the launch of the iPhone last year.

It’s WAR! - Nokia and Apple

This has been brewing for some time now.

Nokia announced in August that they would be launching a new music download service geared primarily for their music phones (N81 and the other NSeries). I visited the Nokia headquarters in September and was ushered into their demo-area where they were to do a full-on demo of their “Nokia Music Service”. Here is a picture of the released service while they were demoing it in September, and it is clearly a competitor to iTunes.

Here’s a link to the service in the UK (IE6 only??)

I played around with the service for about 20 mins while at Nokia and have used it some more the past couple of days. The selection of music is already quite impressive and their database of artists - which is a pretty neat looking device. a little thinner than the old N95 4GB, although it suffers terribly from the lack of quality software just like its predecessor)

Nokia is flexing it’s muscles and trying to strong arm its way into the music business which Apple owns. In August Nokia announced the launch of 4 new devices and a new web2.0′ish service called Ovi which would be a portal into its gaming and music services. GigaOm covered this back in August and I barely yawned at the announcement. The reason I became interested in it again a couple of months later is because I have actually seen people using the service!. Not in the US but in the UK. Europe has traditionally been a Nokia stronghold and continues to be exactly that. You actually see Nokia-fan-boys (and girls) roaming the streets here and openly professing their love of Nokia. Surprised?

I was.

Apple has changed the game with the iPhone (and people at Nokia agreed as well). Future releases of the iPhone will only make them a go-to company for young folk all over the world who need a converged communications and entertainment device. Nokia however aims to change that by providing the same complete end-to-end service that Apple is providing currently and the launch of Ovi and the new devices which they are unleashing in Europe seems to be their way of sounding the battle-horn.

Recently, Clayton M. Christensen (of Innovator’s Dilemma fame) was interviewed at the Business Innovation Factoy, where among many things he talks about the apparent path of conflict that Apple has placed themselves in due to the fact that they disrupted the market with a cooler/better product and leap-frogged the competition, however, they have now placed themselves in the path of “massive innovative energy” from the likes of Nokia etc. They will now have to sustain themselves whilst at the same time innovate at the rapid pace that their investors expect.

I believe Apple can sustain this pace of innovation and continue to increase market share same time in the mobile space. Do You?

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Supply, Demand and why its a great day for all mobile enthusiasts…

Apple slashed prices on their iPhones yesterday and I literally ran to the closest AT&T store to sign myself up for a 2year contract. Signing up to any carrier for 2 years is not something I take lightly and running to the closest store to spend on the latest Apple gizmo isn’t my idea of fun (I am not an apple fan boy, yet.)

Still, there I was all giddy eyed and eager to switch into the new era of mobile computing. It truly is all that and more… Having been a Palm fan boy for a long long time and adoring the work of Jeff Hawkins this has been a huge move for me and I’m loving the entire experience. The last time I was this excited about any technology a close friend of mine had handed me a Palm 3x to tinker around with - that was 7 years ago. I’ve used a Palm ever since as my primary handheld device, well, until yesterday.

A lot of industry insiders cannot understand why Apple slashed prices on the iPhone - Michael Mace literally sounds pissed off when he writes:

I can’t speak for Apple’s motivations, and I know they pride themselves on thinking different, but no one I
know in the tech industry — and I mean no one– cuts the price of a consumer tech product two months after launch
unless they’re seriously worried about demand. It’s just not done, because it pisses off your early buyers, trains customers to wait a few months before they buy, upsets the channel, produces a lot of returned products, and distracts people from your other announcements. If current iPhone sales are okay, the only other reason I can think of to cut prices this soon would be if you’re worried about a competitive situation. Let’s see, what competitive announcement could have possibly spooked Apple? Could it be Nokia’s announcement last week of a music phone priced at 225 euros ($306)?

I am not a marketing guru nor am I a Economist but I can think of a couple of reasons:

a. Apple realizes that the carriers are a hindrance for them to truly revolutionize this industry and is prepared to go it alone with WiFi devices that will support VoIp - introducing the iTouch which is going to cannibalize some of the iPhone sales is one step in this direction

c. They intend to take multi-touch interfaces to the next level on handheld devices and by lowering the price points on the devices they will reach a lot more users who will in turn spread the meme ( I know I will!)

d. Apple stands to make a lot more in revenue by providing additional applications as services on the iPhone devices:
- would you pay 10USD a month for an Apple made 3D-GPS navigation system?
- would you pay 20USD for 10 network shows every month?
- would you pay 10USD for skype like services on the iPhone running on VoIp?

e. Apple should be worried about competition and should focus on setting up a large base of users in the first 2 years in order to create a valid base for the iPhone platform of services. If price cuts are the way to go to get to that comfortable state in terms of users then thats what they should do…

To me it seems like Apple has made the right impact in the mobile space already - with bringing the focus on good pricing for data and voice bundles, highlighting the possibilities  for web-services on devices, taking a firm stand on usability and user experience where there was practically none (in comparision) and giving the customer the choice about usage (WiFi - when possible over Edge etc.).

If you were to choose between the 306USD Nokia music-phone or the 4GB iPhone for 299USD - what would you choose?

What’s all the fuss about Mike? These are happy days!

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Why Carriers need to listen to Application Developers

As much as I am annoyed by the business practices of many wireless carriers in the world - the fact is, that, they are the gatekeepers to the customers. I believe that constant and total collaboration between application developers and strategy types at the Carriers is absolutely necessary to help move the entire industry towards greater profit margins. Let me explain why I think this is the case:

Pricing of existing services
Current trends that many carriers have shown with regards to data pricing is an indicator of a lack of thought on the Carriers part. Consider a 40USD all you can eat plan for data usage on Verizon - many potential customers who could have been brought into the mobile data experience on their existing smartphones have stayed away due to the fact that they have been priced out of the service. As an application developer I would have devised strategies that bring existing qualified subscribers in by:

  • providing a month of service at no charge to allow customers to gain from the service and see if it fits their lifestyle
  • have a more accessible all-you-can-eat plan that does not price out the majority of interested subscribers
  • focusing on add-on services based on the data plan

Carriers have been very successful in the US by using bundled pricing for voice services and they have been extremely successful in generating a high volume of voice usage and increasing their ARPU. The same strategy however cannot be applied cookie cutter to data services and that is precisely what most carriers end up doing. Bundled pricing can be used to increase voice and data adoption and hence revenue in the short term as is the case currently. However, in my opinion current pricing across the board is way too high to allow them to see any real profits from bundling data and voice. In the long term, a good pricing strategy on bundled data and voice will bring carriers closer to their customers than ever before. Being a key part of a users mobile web experience provides the carriers with an opportunity to add data driven features and services which will help strengthen the ARPU to record levels - This is where a strong relationship between carriers and application developers will really help.

Mobile Applications - who creates them? | WiFi Meshes - a serious threat!
Carriers are good at many things - setting up and maintaining mind numbing amounts of infrastructure, customer support (well most of the times anyways), scaling services across millions of subscribers etc. They are not very adept at bringing new ideas and applications to their subscriber base. Application development companies that focus on only mobile applications for consumers or the enterprise are the only real providers of mobile applications. Carriers have tie-ups and strategic partnerships with many such companies to provide the service as an offering to their subscribers. With the proliferation of WiFi across most urban settings carrier run the risk of being relegated completely out of the application space.

If they (carriers) do not act soon there is a serious risk of most subscribers using a city wide WiFi mesh to access content and use services created by mobile application dev shops. This is already happening around us today - look at Loki and the way they have structured their service offering - it is only WiFi driven and can run on any WiFi supported smartphone (WinMob currently…). WiFi meshes around urban landscapes are a reality and the percentage coverage is growing in leaps and bounds every year. WiFi is a serious risk to data services offered by carriers and pricing out a large chunk of customers with high bundling options is not helping.

Content and Applications
Services like Pandora and last.fm are going mobile. RSS aggregators like bloglines, google reader are already seeing high adoption amongst handheld users and smartphone users. IM clients and VoIP services such as Skype and Fring are becoming very popular. None of these have seen any distribution through carriers since there doesn’t seem to be any logical place where carriers can capture any of the revenue. This can change if carriers work with Application Developers to see how these services can be offered to millions of subscribers in a cost effective way or preferably free through advertisements driven by the carriers. Google already plans to provide a WiFi service in the SanFrancisco metro driven primarily by advertisements - the end cost to the user is 0.

But for any real solution to emerge there must be constant dialog between the men in their ivory towers and the junta. Mobile Monday seems like the adequate meeting grounds to have such discussions.